Much warmer air mass overnight as the temps dipped to only 38 degrees this morning. The rain is moving into the region and will be off and on throughout the day. The winds will increase, especially in the Smoky Mountains and Foothills this afternoon and linger through the early morning hours of Monday. The High Wind Watch has been upgraded to a Warning as the event is now likely. Winds sustained at 20 - 30 mph will be common this afternoon in far east Tennessee, gust near 60 can not be ruled out either.
Monday the rain and winds relax by mid morning and temps rise above sixty. There still may be some windy weather to contend with Monday, but not as intense as this afternoon.
Tuesday will be quiet with mostly sunny skies and temps cooling down quite a bit. Highs Tuesday will be in the upper 40s.
Wednesday will be an "on the edge" type of day as a large complex storm rides up the East Coast as a surge of cold air moves in from the northwest. The precipitation should stay east of the Smoky Mountains but there may be some high elevation snow and a bit of a wintry mix for some of the Foothill communities. Don't be surprised if there are a few flakes that make it into the valley at some point Wednesday into Wednesday night as a secondary batch of moisture sneaks in from the northwest.
Thanksgiving should be dry with highs in the upper forties.
All this is subject to change as we get closer to the holiday, but for now it looks nice.
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